Alabama quarterback Bryce Younger enters the 2022 school soccer season with an opportunity to turn into the second two-time Heisman Trophy winner in historical past. Solely Ohio State working again Archie Griffin was in a position to accomplish the feat when he gained back-to-back Heisman wins in 1974 and 1975. Nevertheless, the competitors for soccer’s most coveted prize college appears to be stronger than ever. Two of the highest 5 finishers in final yr’s Heisman vote — Ohio State quarterback CJ Stroud and Alabama linebacker Will Anderson Jr. — have returned to high school, and USC QB Caleb Williams and Texas RB Bijan Robinson are additionally within the sport.
Our betting consultants reply a number of the most urgent questions on this yr’s Heisman race and the place you could find the most effective pre-season worth.
School Soccer Futures Week Schedule
Monday: Heisman Trophy Race
Tuesday: Earnings totals
Wednesday: Convention title races
Thursday: Ideas of the week 0/1
Friday: Nationwide title odds
C.J. Stroud (+200) and Bryce Young (+350) are the present favorites to win the Heisman in 2022. Is there betting worth on both quarterback?
David Hale, ESPN school soccer author: It isn’t that I am lower than par with Younger, however the ROI simply is not there for a number of causes. For one factor, we do not see repeat winners. As James Winston The place lamar jackson proven in previous seasons, it’s usually troublesome to satisfy the excessive expectations the next yr. Nevertheless, the most important drawback for Younger is Alabama’s receiving corps. Are we positive there are sufficient distinction components within the Crimson Tide assault? When jameson williams and John Metchie III had been on the sector final yr, the Tide was averaging 8.7 yards per recoil. When one or each had been lacking, this quantity dropped to six.4. And it is solely the second time within the Nick Saban period that Alabama hasn’t returned a large receiver with at the least 250 receiving yards for the Tide the earlier yr.
Doug Kezirian, ESPN betting analyst: There’s completely no worth. Even when a type of quarterbacks sees their wiggle room shrinking all through the season and the present odds are on the peak, any regret would solely come from the hindsight. While you issue within the mixed odds of profitable each sport or (surviving with a single loss) and outlasting different contenders and avoiding harm, these present payouts are method too low.
“Stanford Steve” Coughlin, ESPN betting analyst: I believe the expectations for these two guys are beginning to get just a little unrealistic. Do folks count on Bryce Younger to be so a lot better? Additionally, a repeat Heisman winner has by no means occurred in my lifetime and solely as soon as within the historical past of the game, so I do not see any worth. All I’ve learn this offseason about Ohio State and Ryan Day is that he desires his offense to be extra balanced. Which means extra touches for the celebrity working again, Tre Veyon Henderson. So these two favorites are not any video games for me.
Invoice Connelly, ESPN Soccer Insider: I agree. Voters appear to be elevating the bar for defending champions, to the purpose that nobody has crossed it since Archie Griffin within the Nineteen Seventies. With Stroud getting Jaxon Smith-Njigba again, it is advisable perceive that he’s extra seemingly to enhance on final yr’s stats. Stroud ought to be the favourite, however +200 is not notably useful both provided that between Smith-Njigba and TreVeyon Henderson, Stroud may undergo from a “teammate stealing his votes” scenario.
Erin Dolan, ESPN betting analyst: It will depend on the way you interpret the “worth”, however I am not working to the window. What’s attention-grabbing right here is that Bryce Younger opened as the favourite at +250, adopted by CJ Stroud at +350. However these two rocked. Stroud is the present favourite at +200. Each causes: Younger gained the award final season, and it is extraordinarily troublesome to repeat. Stroud is the preferred ticket (10.5%) and greenback (13.8%) wager to this point on Caesars Sportsbook. In the meantime, Younger is sixth in tickets and twelfth within the deal with. And get this… Younger is definitely third on his personal staff behind linebacker Will Anderson Jr. and working again Jahmyr Gibbs.
QC Caleb Williams adopted Lincoln Riley to USC. Williams brought on a stir final yr and was at one level Heisman’s favourite. What do you consider its prospects as a Trojan and the +900 worth?
Connell: I really feel like Williams was overrated to a point contemplating he all of the sudden began trying lots like a freshman on the finish of final season. His first 4 video games as a main contributor, he had a completion price of 73%, 15.1 yards per completion, an INT price of 1.0%, and a QB ranking of 211.7. In his final 4 video games, he had a completion price of 57%, 12.5 yards per completion, an INT price of two.9%, and a QB ranking of 133.2. There is no doubt he’ll have a improbable receiving corps within the West, plus all of the visibility on this planet and fewer huge defenses to deal with. Something lower than +900, and I would begin to fear, however I believe that is a good worth.
Kezirian: I perceive the enchantment of the +900 at first look however finally it isn’t sufficient suggestions. For instance, Younger had these possibilities to return in final season, and Alabama had a legit likelihood to go undefeated — plus not having two distinct favorites like Stroud and Younger are this yr. In order that’s the issue with Williams at +900. Whereas I count on Riley to assist USC enhance this yr, I do not suppose the Trojans are a nationwide title contender. There might be some rising pains and if Riley one way or the other works his magic, I do not suppose +900 is a good quantity while you nonetheless have to beat Stroud, Younger and all the opposite variables.
Coughlin: I believe Williams will put up greater than spectacular numbers, however the Trojans will undergo a number of defeats of their schedule. It would seemingly happen in opposition to Williams (which I fully disagree with) and harm his probabilities of profitable the Heisman Trophy.
Not too long ago, we have had seasons the place the Heisman winner was a longshot in the summertime. Does anybody on the board match this description?
Vigorous: If you cannot get good worth on Younger, why not spend money on his new teammate, working again Jahmyr Gibbs? Positive, the Heisman tends to go for a QB, however that is not true for Alabama gamers. The Tide has 4 of Heisman’s final 13 winners and Younger was the one QB. DeVonta Smith (2021), Derrick Henry (2015) and Mark Ingram (2009) account for 75% of non-QBs to win the award since 2000. Gibbs would be the featured again in a longtime starless offense at receiver. He is additionally a menace out of the backfield and within the return sport (he was third nationally in all-around yards per sport final yr). Add all of it up – a flexible star on an enormous staff more likely to get a ton of touches with a doubtlessly intriguing backstory – and you’ve got a veritable recipe for a Heisman Trophy winner.
Connell: The surest technique to decide a sensible set of Heisman candidates is to easily ask, “Who’re the beginning QBs of the top-ranked groups?” Stroud and Younger are clearly factored in that method, as is Williams (though USC’s protection will seemingly be too shaky for the Trojans to actually deal with). If you’re on the lookout for actual longshots, what about Stetson Bennet at +12500 or extra? I would not put him on the highest favorites record, however he completed third in Complete QBR (forward of a QB not named Stroud or Younger) and gained the nationwide title. Utah is a possible top-10 staff, and Cameron Rising (+8000) was sixth in Complete QBR final yr. It is loopy to me that Will Anderson Jr. was by far the most effective participant in school soccer final yr, and possibly might be once more in 2022, and he wasn’t even probably the most voting amongst defensemen.
Kezirian: Two names come to thoughts. One is a legit wager I made and the opposite is an idea I wish to convey that ought to make you suppose. Will Anderson Jr. is unquestionably price it at 40-1. He’s extremely considered the most effective soccer participant within the nation, and voters demonstrated a capability to interrupt the norm when DeVonta Smith gained the award in 2021. Second, the Texas quarterback Quinn ewers intrigues me at 40-1 however finally I would not go for it. Whereas enjoying for Steve Sarkisian on a blue blood program, he has but to win the beginning gig, and Texas will not be going to problem for the title. Keep in mind the Longhorns misplaced to Kansas final yr. The Heisman has gone to some quarterbacks of groups which have completed with a number of losses, however that requires a number of stars to line up.
ESPN betting analyst Chris “The Bear” Fallica: Will Anderson Jr. is on everybody’s radar after a terrific 2021 season, and that provides him an enormous begin for 2022. There could also be some voters who’re reluctant to provide the Heisman to Younger two years in a row, regardless the best way he performs. Ohio State additionally has three potential candidates who can cut up the vote. Aiden Hutchinson completed 2nd in Heisman voting final yr as a defenseman, and given the issues Anderson has going for him, he can be my sport proper now at 40-1.
Coughlin: I believe Dillon-Gabriel price a glance. He reunited with Jeff Lebby in Oklahoma, who was his offensive coordinator in his freshman season at UCF. That yr, Gabriel threw for over 3,600 yards and 29 touchdowns. I believe a extra mature Gabriel will put up some monster numbers with Lebby in cost in Norman.