The Dallas Stars upset the Calgary Flames in Game 2 with +210 underdogs with a 2-0 shutout win and now the low-scoring series moves to Texas with things tied at one game apiece.
Can the Flames regroup and steal their first road game of the series as -165 road favorites despite only scoring one goal in two games? Can Jake Oettinger continue to be strong even with a light workload? Discover for free NHL picks and predictions for Flames vs Stars on Saturday, May 7.
Flames vs Stars Odds
This odds widget represents the best odds available for each regulated sports betting market.
The Flames started as -165 favorites on the road and didn’t see much movement at all. With just three goals scored in the first two games of the series, the total went from 5.5 to 5. Calgary was a -235 home favorite in the 2-0 Game 2 loss.
Flames vs Stars Predictions
Predictions made on 05/07/2022 at 1:00 PM ET.
Click on each prediction to go to the full analysis.
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Information about the game Flames vs Stars
• Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
• Date: Saturday May 7, 2022
• puck toss: 9:30 p.m. ET
• TV: DTT, Sportsnet
Flames vs Stars Series Odds (Tie 1-1)
Flames vs Stars betting overview
Flames: Sean Monahan F (A).
Stars: Braden Holtby G (A).
Find our latest NHL injury reports.
Flames vs Stars head-to-head record since 2019-20
Flames: 7-7 SU, 38 goals for.
Stars: 7-7 SU, 38 goals for.
Betting trend you need to know
Under is 6-0 in the Flames’ last six games when their opponent allowed two goals or less in their previous game. find more NHL Betting Trends for Flames vs Stars.
Flames vs Stars Picks and Predictions
Our side and total predictions are based on our analysis of the line and total in this match. Our best bet is our preferred choice in all markets.
It’s been nearly 115 minutes since the Calgary Flames scored a goal as Jake Oettinger closed the door in Game 2 and the Flames won 1-0 in Game 1 after scoring in the first five minutes of the game. This series has been a battle and there hasn’t been much open ice. It also shouldn’t surprise many people that two teams that rely heavily on their top line to score are struggling to reach the playoff scoresheet.
Although the Flames finished with the second-best record in the West and are heavy favorites going into the series, the series has been tight so far. Only two non-empty net goals have been scored – one on the power play and one at even strength – while the Flames have the slightest lead in expected goals at 4.06 to Dallas’ 3.84 x goals.
Calgary had more quality scoring chances and controlled possession with a Corsi% and Fenwick% above 60%, but Darryl Sutter’s side barely did anything with their limited offensive chances and Now takes its stick-tightening ways on the road to Dallas, where the Stars finished in the GAA Top 10 at 2.76.
It’s funny to me when Stars fans are *still* offended when we call the Stars boring, especially during the playoffs. It is a compliment ????
From last night: Stars put their mark on Flames for Game 2 shutout victory to tie the series
— Saad Yousuf (@SaadYousuf126) May 6, 2022
The Flames had great success on the road this season and finished with the second-best road point percentage with a 25-12-4 record and a goal differential of over 0.69 per game. However, beating Dallas at home wasn’t easy this year as they finished 27-10-4 at home this season.
The main reason for Dallas’ success at home is the brilliant play of Oettinger, who went 21-6 at home this season. His spreads were actually better on the road, but the Stars just found ways to win games at home this season and with the Flames struggling to find the back of the net, +145 could be worth the price of admission .
Calgary was a -235 home favorite in Game 2 and we’re starting to see the market adjust to that line, as the Flames start to move to the shorter end. This gives us an excellent price on the home side at +145 in a series where no offense has dominated.
We wouldn’t be surprised if Dallas split their two home games and stealing Game 3 might be the best chance for a game.
We loved Calgary and Sutter to stop the Dallas offense in Game 2, but the offense forgot to do its part, and with so much confidence in the Tkachuk-Lindholm-Gaudreau line and now losing the final substitution, the Stars have a slight edge. In a series that’s been this tight, it’s the small factors that keep us chasing more money.
Prediction: Dallas Silver Line (+145 on bet365)
Covers NHL betting analysis
Thanks to the lack of offensive production in the first two games of the series, we see the top 5 overall in the playoffs, and we don’t blame the books for the miniscule number that’s been booked for the New York Islanders lately. playoffs.
No team scored more than one goal without an empty net, only 7.9 xgoals were credited, while the 5v5 game recorded just one goal and just over 4.00 xgoals. Calgary hasn’t scored an even-strength goal in the first two games of the series at home, which has them concerned.
Jacob Markstrom recorded the shutout in Game 1 while Oettinger returned the favor on Thursday. Together, the two goalies stopped 91 of 93 shots, which is good for a remarkable .978 SV%. If you do the math, that’s an average of just 23 shots per game from each team per game. If you’re looking to soften the offense and hit the Under goalkeeper, you’ll need to be very low as Markstrom’s total currently sits at 24.5 and is leaning towards Under. Oettinger is at 27.5 after Calgary had 26 and 29 shots respectively in the first two games of the series.
Penalties increased dramatically during the playoffs, but neither team took advantage of their opportunities. Calgary is 1-for-8 and 0-for-7 in its last seven powerplays while the Stars are 0-for-7. Both teams have finished in the top half of the league in PK% over the last two months of the season and have been aggressive so far in the playoffs, which has paid off.
After two games, we have a very good understanding of the training strategies of each team in the series, which is simple: eliminate opposing offensive opportunities. The books are well aware of this with a total of 5, but there are some 5.5 seconds we can hit the minus on as we expect another low score, zero game which should be settled by a goal unique.
Prediction: Less than 5.5 (-130 at BetMGM)
We’ve seen what a good goaltender can do in the playoffs and how that can get into the heads of the opposing offense. Calgary is still a strong favorite to win the series at -290, but Dallas isn’t going away and may in fact be a tougher opponent than many thought heading into the series.
Calgary struggled to launch a home offense and was held off the scoresheet for 115 minutes which is hard to ignore especially when we get +145 for the Stars at home where they have been a better hockey team.
Oettinger may be young at 23, but he’s a former first-round pick with pedigree. The projector is not too big for him.
All the moments leading up to it were just a dress rehearsal.
— Bally Sports South West (@BallySportsSW) May 4, 2022
At 28-6 SU, the Stars were the second-best team in hockey to win single-goal games in the regular season and they’ll have to dig into that same bag of tricks to take the series lead tonight. With Calgary struggling on offense, we like Dallas winning this game more than 40% of the time, which the line indicates.
To take: Dallas Money Line (+145)
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