Sequence Preview: Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays

After goodbye to Dishesthe M’s proceed their East Coast journey with a go to to Toronto to tackle the plummeting Blue Jays.

Because of present Canadian journey coverage, solely totally vaccinated group members will be capable of cross the border. Thus, Scott Servais implied that “some players” can be required to remain dwelling. We’ll discover out precisely what meaning for the M’s within the subsequent few hours.

Briefly

sailors blue jays
sailors blue jays
Sport 1 Monday Could 16 | 4:07 p.m.
HRP Chris Flexen LHP Yusei Kikuchi
40% 60%
Sport 2 Tuesday Could 17 | 4:07 p.m.
RHP Logan Gilbert Jose Berrios
41% 59%
Sport 3 Wednesday Could 18 | 4:07 p.m.
LHP Marco Gonzales RHP Kevin Gausman
32% 68%

*Sport odds courtesy of FanGraphs

Presentation of the group

Perception blue jays sailors Edge
Perception blue jays sailors Edge
Batter (wRC+) 96 (eighth in AL) 113 (fifth in AL) sailors
Fielding (OAA) 2 (seventh) 2 (sixth) sailors
Beginning pitch (FIP-) 87 (2nd) 119 (14th) blue jays
Bullpen (FIP-) 102 (tenth) 100 (eighth) sailors

The Blue Jays enter the sequence above .500, however their successful file belies a brutal Could — they’ve misplaced every of their final 4 sequence to the tune of a 3-9 file. Accidents and chilly snaps took their toll on the lineup; in Could, the Blue Jays had the 4th worst wRC+ group in MLB, forward of solely the Tigers, Cubsand like.

On the pitching aspect, the one purpose Toronto has even been within the neighborhood of the league common is due to one man: Kevin Gausman. The Blue Jays ace was the American League’s high pitcher of 2022, largely attributable to the truth that he walked precisely TWO batters all yr. Extra on him in a second.

Luckily, the Ms will miss Alek Manoah and his 1.75 ERA this sequence, however they may nonetheless need to take care of gifted pitchers in Kikuchi, José Berríos and Gausman. Let’s simply hope the Blue Jays roster sits idle for a couple of extra video games.

Blue Jays roster

Participant Place Bats Pennsylvania BABIP CMR+ BsR
Participant Place Bats Pennsylvania BABIP CMR+ BsR
George Springer coronary heart charge R 135 0.291 140 1.1
Bo Bichette SS R 153 0.301 80 -0.2
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B R 142 0.298 140 -0.8
Teoscar Hernandez DH R 51 0.286 87 0.7
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF R 137 0.265 79 0.4
Matt Chapman 3B R 135 0.213 77 0.7
Santiago Espinal 2B R 124 0.333 129 0.4
Danny Janssen VS R 205 0.233 105 -0.5
Raimel Tapia RF L 110 0.284 54 1.2

Jansen’s stats of 2021

Toronto sported probably the most fearsome offenses within the league in 2021, powered by MLB’s high 262 homers. Issues have not clicked to the identical diploma in 2022.

On paper, it would appear like they’re lacking Marcus Semien’s bat after his 45 profession dingers in 2021 – though he is but to bat a single one as a Ranger this yr. Blue Jays followers can not less than be grateful that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and George Springer appeared roughly like their typical famous person. (Springer left Friday’s sport towards the Rays with a sprained ankle after making an attempt a leaping maintain towards the wall, however returned to the lineup on Sunday as a DH, so we’ll see what sort of position he’ll play on this sequence).

The most important shock of the yr was infielder Santiago Espinal, who at the moment leads all Blue Jays batters in fWAR, because of his 130 wRC+ and elite second base protection. The remainder of the lineup, then again, has been mediocre to horrible. Bo Bichette (85 wRC+) and Lourdes Gurriel (79 wRC+) received off to a gradual begin. The identical goes for newcomer Matt Chapman (77 wRC+). The opposite Jay with huge league pedigree, Cavan Biggio, was demoted to Triple-A. Toronto can be hoping to get a well-deserved spark from All-Star Teoscar Hernandéz, who continues to be again in kind after a 21-game absence with an indirect harm.

Possible Pitchers

Updated Stuff + Explainer

MLB: Game 1 - Toronto Blue Jays at Cleveland Guardians

Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports activities

LHP Yusei Kikuchi

IPs Ok% BB% HR/FB % GB % TIME FIP
IPs Ok% BB% HR/FB % GB % TIME FIP
26 23.7% 14.9% 16.7% 52.2% 4.15 5.01
Floor Frequency Velocity Turnover charge Ideas+ Meals + BEEP+
4 seams 48.5% 94.9 2288 150 132 79
Cutter 12.8% 91.2 2298 114
Change 12.2% 87.4 1650 63
Slide 26.6% 86.5 2369 122 73 84

After the Mariners and Yusei Kikuchi turned down their mutual choices final offseason, Kikuchi walked out and signed a three-year contract with the Blue Jays in March. After watching him pitch in Seattle for the previous three seasons, we should always all be aware of what he brings to the mound. It combines a particularly laborious fastball with a tough knife and sweeping slider. Sadly, his mastery of his repertoire comes and goes and he’s topic to lengthy intervals of savagery and ineffectiveness. Since becoming a member of Toronto, he has diminished the usage of his cutter in favor of a revamped laborious slider. His management of this new pitch is not any higher, however he appears to suit higher together with his fastball than any of his outdated secondary pitches.


HRP Jose Berrios

IPs Ok% BB% HR/FB % GB % TIME FIP
IPs Ok% BB% HR/FB % GB % TIME FIP
34 15.3% 7.0% 12.2% 31.9% 5.82 5.15
Floor Frequency Velocity Turnover charge Ideas+ Meals + BEEP+
4 seams 34.5% 94.0 2254 96 87 98
Lead 24.4% 93.6 2118 101 57 92
Change 11.7% 84.5 1518 140
curve ball 29.4% 82.7 2272 116 94 98

After becoming a member of the Blue Jays on the commerce deadline final yr, José Berríos struggled in his first full season in Toronto. After posting a strikeout charge of lower than 24% within the first six seasons of his Minnesota profession, he is dropped to fifteen.3% this yr. There are no evident points both, he simply misplaced a little bit of effectivity on all of his throws, which led to an enormous drop in total outcomes. If there was one factor to face out, it will be his four-seam fastball. He is elevated the usage of that pitch by virtually 10 factors this yr and the opposing hitters have actually stood out towards him. He allowed a virtually .400 batting common on his radiator and an unpleasant .484 wOBA. It’s by far his least efficient throw and he throws it extra typically than ever.


RHP Kevin Gausman

IPs Ok% BB% HR/FB % GB % TIME FIP
IPs Ok% BB% HR/FB % GB % TIME FIP
45 30.9% 1.1% 0.0% 44.9% 2.40 0.86
Floor Frequency Velocity Turnover charge Ideas+ Meals + BEEP+
4 seams 49.5% 94.1 2243 139 73 93
Separator 34.7% 84.5 1587 134 148 93
Slide 12.5% 83.5 2248 100

Kevin Gausman has reinvented himself in San Francisco over the previous two years by actually leaning into his splitter like a kill throw whereas including some pace to his fastball. That one-two shot has grow to be utterly untouchable this yr. In seven begins this yr, he ran a ridiculous 54:2 strikeout ratio and solely allowed his first stroll on his sixth begin of the yr. As Michael Ajeto defined on FiveThirtyEight a couple of weeks in the past, a lot of Gausman’s success this yr will be attributed to the optimum location of its three areas. This left opposing hitters utterly helpless when attempting to make contact with one in all his pitches. Its FIP of 0.86 is don’t a typo; it displays how dominant he has been to start out this season.


The massive image:

The AL West

Staff W.L. W% Video games behind Current kind
Staff W.L. W% Video games behind Current kind
Astros 23-12 0.657 WWWLW
angels 24-13 0.649 LWLWW
sailors 16-19 0.457 7.0 WLWLW
Rangers 14-19 0.424 8.0 LWLLW
Athletics 15-22 0.405 9.0 WLWLL

After righting the ship with a satisfying sequence win over the Mets, the Mariners are 16-19, good for third place within the division. The M preserve a slim lead over Rangers, who’ve earned the privilege of going through the Astros as soon as and the Angels twice of their subsequent three sequence (Houston is a smoldering 12-2 on the month, whereas the Halos are a decidedly delicate 10-5).

Athletics, as anticipated, brings up the rear. They will come to city subsequent week for his or her first tangle with the M’s of 2022.

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